Russia-Ukraine war live: air raid alarms sound in Kyiv and Kherson; Bakhmut reaching stalemate, say US thinktank | Ukraine

Air raid alarms sound in Kyiv and Kherson

At around 6am on Thursday, 29 December, air raid alarms sounded in the Ukrainian capital Kyiv, as well as the southern regions of Kherson and Mykolaiv and the western region of Zhytomyr.

“An air alert has been announced in the capital! Please go to the shelter!” the Kyiv City Military Administration posted on Telegram.

As yet, there have been no confirmed attacks.

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Fighting at a deadlock, says Ukraine spy chief

The head of Ukraine’s military intelligence agency, Kyrylo Budanov, has made a similar claim to what the Institute for the Study of War had to say about Bakhmut, though he has widened it to the whole country.

Budanov says that fighting in Ukraine is at a deadlock, as neither Ukraine nor Russia is able to make significant advances.

“The situation is just stuck…It doesn’t move,” Budanov told the news agency in an interview.

He said that Russia was at a dead end but that Ukraine “can’t defeat them in all directions comprehensively” while it awaits weapons.

Bakhmut reaching stalemate, say US thinktank

Analysts at the US-based Institute for the Study of War believe that Russia has reached a stalemate in Bakhmut, with “several indicators support[ing] the assessment that Russian forces around Bakhmut have culminated”.

On Wednesday, Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskiy said “only a few” civilians remained in the embattled frontline city, which is in the eastern province of Donetsk. In a post on Telegram, Ukraine’s leader said of the city that “there is no place that is not covered with blood”.

In an update posted at 8.15pm Eastern Time, the ISW wrote:

US military doctrine defines culmination as the “point at which a force no longer has the capability to continue its form of operations, offense or defense,” and “when a force cannot continue the attack and must assume a defensive posture or execute an operational pause.” If Russian forces in Bakhmut have indeed culminated, they may nevertheless continue to attack aggressively. Culminated Russian forces may continue to conduct ineffective squad-sized assaults against Bakhmut, though these assaults would be very unlikely to make operationally significant gains.

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